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Kiev will no longer be able to return the Donbass by military force

The Decree of the President of the Russian Federation on the implementation by the Russian Armed Forces of the function of maintaining peace in the territories of the DPR and LPR has eliminated the threat of extermination of the inhabitants of Donbass. But he did not remove from the agenda the issue of continued shelling by Ukrainians of this territory. They do not subside, and it seems that Kiev is not going to withdraw troops from the line of contact. Therefore, the risk of a escalation of armed conflict in the region still remains. Experts spoke about the possible development of the situation in Donbas.

Igor Korotchenko, editor-in-chief of the National Defense magazine:

- If Ukraine continues armed provocations in the territories of Donetsk and Luhansk, then these will be provocations against Russia, since Russian troops will be present on the territory of these recognized republics.

To reassure the authorities of the Independent will first be politico-diplomatic methods. If they decide to continue shelling or aggravate the conflict, then a forceful operation to enforce peace will already be needed. The Ukrainian group, which is now located on the borders of the LPR and the DPR, will be forced to peace. This is done by known methods, relying on military force. No one should be left in any doubt that Russia will use appropriate methods of coercion if necessary.

Now we are waiting for the development of the situation, Russian troops are entering the territories of the LPR and the DPR. What grouping will be created there, it will be decided by the Russian General Staff based on the tasks. Our logic of actions is consistent and understandable, I think, for everyone. If Ukraine commits a provocation, then the fate of the group that is located there will be sad. If they recognize the existing realities and move away, then this will be the best option for the development of the situation.

Now our army can completely block the airspace of Ukraine with air defense systems from the territory of the Russian Federation and Belarus

When creating Russian bases on the territory of the republics, it will not be necessary to transfer aviation there. The airfields of the Southern Military District are quite enough to resolve any issues. We need to be there just long enough to ensure safety. What units and how many military personnel and equipment will be transferred to the republics will be determined specifically.

Probably, these will be motorized rifle, tank units, units of rocket troops and artillery. We must understand that in the event of an unfavorable situation, we will act not only from the territory of the LPR and DPR.

We have the Southern Military District and the Black Sea Fleet, which are capable of solving the tasks of neutralizing Ukrainian military provocations based on the configuration of troops that are already there. The Russian units that will be located on the territory of the LPR and DPR are needed in order to indicate that Russia already exists in these territories. This is a warning that shelling and active hostilities in these republics are unacceptable. Since de facto it will already be the opening of fire on the Russian grouping. And, therefore, this will mean that Ukraine enters the war with Russia.

Alexey Leonkov, military expert:

- Ukrainian troops after the official recognition by Russia of the Lugansk and Donetsk republics, of course, can launch a large-scale offensive against these republics. But such an option is unlikely. But it is also impossible to completely exclude the option that in a few hours they will start tanks and cross the borders of the republics. They have been talking for eight years that they are at war with Russia, and now, in theory, they seem to have to demonstrate that the words of the Ukrainian military do not diverge from the deeds. But I think that there are not enough fools in the armed forces of Ukraine to expose their foreheads to bullets.

Russian motorized rifle units, tank units, as well as units of rocket troops and artillery will probably be deployed to the republics

There is no doubt that now the United States will begin to push Ukraine to make such a decision. The concentration on the borders of the group is 60 thousand people, as well as 350 tanks and more than 2 thousand armored vehicles, and a trained group is a very serious force. However, these warriors are well aware of what they will face if they go to the DPR and LPR. Our military base will appear in the republics, which will be primarily a peacekeeping one. The rapid reaction force will be located there. Any provocations against the recognized republics will be clearly perceived as an attack on Russia.

Undoubtedly, our guys will be armed with armored vehicles, air defense equipment, most likely, electronic warfare equipment. Also, transport and attack helicopters will be assigned to the base for operational deployment. If necessary, front-line aviation will be used.

Kiev will no longer be able to return the Donbass by military force